Sunderland 0-1 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 5 Mar 2024

Sunderland
0-1 HT 0-1
Leicester City
📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Sunderland vs Leicester City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.42
6+ Goals
11%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 26% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.38
1/2
8%
23.15
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
10%
8.36
X/2
12%
4.06
X/X
7%
5.12
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.36
2/X
9%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sunderland v Leicester City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City EU Bookmakers 55%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +31%
1.52/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/1.10
+41% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +59%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 461 · 82%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
16.1 Crosses 10.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.2

Sunderland vs Leicester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Leicester City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 1.16
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
277 Passes 275
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.10.2023 Leicester City Leicester City 1-0 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
04.04.2017 Leicester City Leicester City 2-0 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
03.12.2016 Sunderland Sunderland 2-1 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
10.04.2016 Sunderland Sunderland 0-2 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
08.08.2015 Leicester City Leicester City 4-2 HT 3-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
16.05.2015 Sunderland Sunderland 0-0 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP

Sunderland 0-1 Leicester City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland
0-1
AWAY Leicester City
0.73 xG 1.32
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
369 Passes 397
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sunderland vs Leicester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City edged past Sunderland 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leicester City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sunderland had 49% of the ball to Leicester City's 51%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 0.73 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sunderland and 1.67 for Leicester City.

What was the final score of Sunderland vs Leicester City?

Sunderland 0-1 Leicester City in the England - Championship on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Leicester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 31%, draw 24%, Leicester City 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leicester City), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leicester City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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