Hull City 2-1 Swansea City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.78
6+ Goals
10%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 30% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.49
1/2
9%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
8%
5.14
X/2
14%
5.91
X/X
14%
4.4
2/1
11%
29.0
2/2
11%
4.25
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hull City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.26/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.33
-14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
21.1 Crosses 17.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hull City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Swansea City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.62 xG 1.24
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
343 Passes 532
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Hull City Hull City 0-1 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
25.11.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 2-2 HT 2-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
29.04.2023 Hull City Hull City 1-1 HT 1-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
17.09.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 3-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
29.01.2022 Hull City Hull City 2-0 HT 2-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
11.09.2021 Swansea City Swansea City 0-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hull City
2-1
AWAY Swansea City
1.40 xG 0.84
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
269 Passes 425
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hull City vs Swansea City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City squeezed past Swansea City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Hull City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hull City had 42% of the ball to Swansea City's 58%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.40 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hull City and 1.17 for Swansea City.

What was the final score of Hull City vs Swansea City?

Hull City 2-1 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hull City vs Swansea City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hull City 36%, draw 29%, Swansea City 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hull City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hull City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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