Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Stoke City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.88
1/2
9%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
17%
5.45
X/2
12%
5.39
X/X
8%
4.17
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
13%
3.82
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+6.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.8pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -16%
1.25/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.21
+2% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 75%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
19.2 Crosses 19.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stoke City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.63 xG 1.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
221 Passes 304
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.12.2023 Stoke City Stoke City 0-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
16.02.2021 Stoke City Stoke City 1-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
28.11.2020 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
26.12.2019 Stoke City Stoke City 3-2 HT 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
22.10.2019 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 HT 1-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
30.03.2019 Stoke City Stoke City 0-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
1-1
AWAY Stoke City
1.57 xG 0.61
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
228 Passes 180
65% Pass Accuracy 58%
26 Box Touches 17
37 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sheffield Wednesday vs Stoke City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield Wednesday and Stoke City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sheffield Wednesday at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sheffield Wednesday had 55% of the ball to Stoke City's 45%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.57 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sheffield Wednesday and 0.67 for Stoke City.

What was the final score of Sheffield Wednesday vs Stoke City?

Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield Wednesday vs Stoke City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield Wednesday win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sheffield Wednesday 43%, draw 24%, Stoke City 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sheffield Wednesday) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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