Swansea City 3-0 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
15%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
20.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 35% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.24
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.75
X/1
20%
4.01
X/2
9%
9.68
X/X
9%
4.64
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
10%
8.5
2/X
9%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.5pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
1.60/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.70
-2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
408 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
18.3 Crosses 10.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.29 xG 1.19
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
480 Passes 264
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.12.2024 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-2 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
03.02.2024 Swansea City Swansea City 0-1 HT 0-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
07.10.2023 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-3 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
24.08.2021 Swansea City Swansea City 4-1 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNLK
27.07.2014 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-4 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City HAZ
16.02.2010 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-1 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
3-0
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
2.70 xG 0.52
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
516 Passes 143
85% Pass Accuracy 56%
26 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City swept aside Plymouth Argyle 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Swansea City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Swansea City had 70% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 30%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.70 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Swansea City and 0.83 for Plymouth Argyle.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Swansea City 3-0 Plymouth Argyle in the England - Championship on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 49%, draw 26%, Plymouth Argyle 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swansea City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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