Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Swansea City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 10 Dec 2024

Plymouth Argyle
1-2 HT 0-1
Swansea City
📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Plymouth Argyle vs Swansea City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 28% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
6.91
1/2
6%
23.85
1/X
5%
15.55
X/1
14%
8.89
X/2
11%
4.04
X/X
12%
5.1
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.32
2/X
10%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
44%
Away Win
53%
-9.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Plymouth Argyle v Swansea City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City EU Bookmakers 57%
+17% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.03/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.68
+90% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +49%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 82%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
15.9 Crosses 21.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3

Plymouth Argyle vs Swansea City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Swansea City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.12 xG 2.40
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
262 Passes 525
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Swansea City Swansea City 0-1 HT 0-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
07.10.2023 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-3 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
24.08.2021 Swansea City Swansea City 4-1 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNLK
27.07.2014 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-4 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City HAZ
16.02.2010 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-1 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
08.12.2009 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL

Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Swansea City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
1-2
AWAY Swansea City
1.40 xG 1.96
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
272 Passes 346
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Plymouth Argyle vs Swansea City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City squeezed past Plymouth Argyle 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Swansea City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 47% of the ball to Swansea City's 53%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.40 to 1.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 2.17 for Swansea City.

What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Swansea City?

Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Swansea City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 30%, draw 26%, Swansea City 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swansea City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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