Leeds United 3-1 Middlesbrough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 10 Dec 2024

Leeds United
3-1 HT 1-0
Middlesbrough
📅10/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Leeds United vs Middlesbrough Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.3
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
14%
4.16
X/2
7%
9.11
X/X
10%
5.11
2/1
11%
23.4
2/2
11%
6.91
2/X
10%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leeds United v Middlesbrough — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.85/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.40
+21% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
411 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
20.9 Crosses 17.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Leeds United vs Middlesbrough Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Middlesbrough
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.29 xG 1.06
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
410 Passes 291
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.08.2024 Leeds United Leeds United 0-3 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNLK
22.04.2024 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 3-4 HT 2-3 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
02.12.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 3-2 HT 3-2 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
26.02.2020 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-1 HT 0-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
30.11.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 4-0 HT 2-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
09.02.2019 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-1 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL

Leeds United 3-1 Middlesbrough — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
3-1
AWAY Middlesbrough
1.98 xG 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
410 Passes 402
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Middlesbrough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United got the better of Middlesbrough 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Leeds United had 50% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 50%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.98 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Leeds United and 1.50 for Middlesbrough.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Middlesbrough?

Leeds United 3-1 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Middlesbrough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 48%, draw 25%, Middlesbrough 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United) ✗ Under 2.5
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