Burnley 0-0 Derby County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 10 Dec 2024

Burnley
0-0 HT 0-0
Derby County
📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Burnley vs Derby County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.3
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
18.2
X/1
18%
3.52
X/2
7%
10.45
X/X
12%
4.05
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
9%
9.89
2/X
8%
19.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.4pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burnley v Derby County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Derby County EU Bookmakers 20%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.36/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.39
+11% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
414 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
21.4 Crosses 14.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Burnley vs Derby County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Derby County
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
245 Passes 414
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
The Meetings
25.01.2016 Burnley Burnley 4-1 HT 1-1 Derby County Derby County İNCL
21.09.2015 Derby County Derby County 0-0 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNCL
01.03.2014 Burnley Burnley 2-0 HT 1-0 Derby County Derby County İNCL
31.08.2013 Derby County Derby County 0-3 HT 0-2 Burnley Burnley İNCL
26.12.2012 Burnley Burnley 2-0 HT 1-0 Derby County Derby County İNCL
22.09.2012 Derby County Derby County 1-2 HT 1-1 Burnley Burnley İNCL

Burnley 0-0 Derby County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burnley
0-0
AWAY Derby County
1.34 xG 0.58
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
494 Passes 201
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
38 Box Touches 6
29 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Burnley vs Derby County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley and Derby County played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Burnley at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Burnley had 67% of the ball to Derby County's 33%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.34 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Burnley and 0.33 for Derby County.

What was the final score of Burnley vs Derby County?

Burnley 0-0 Derby County in the England - Championship on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley vs Derby County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Burnley 49%, draw 30%, Derby County 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Burnley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burnley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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