Sunderland 1-1 Bristol City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 10 Dec 2024

Sunderland
1-1 HT 0-0
Bristol City
📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Sunderland vs Bristol City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.98
6+ Goals
8%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 32% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.6
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
14%
4.21
X/2
11%
8.04
X/X
12%
4.36
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
14%
6.45
2/X
8%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sunderland v Bristol City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol City EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.57/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.37
-4% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
18.1 Crosses 17.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Sunderland vs Bristol City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bristol City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.24 xG 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
341 Passes 289
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Sunderland Sunderland 0-0 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
16.12.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 1-0 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
18.02.2023 Sunderland Sunderland 1-1 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
06.08.2022 Bristol City Bristol City 2-3 HT 1-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
10.02.2018 Bristol City Bristol City 3-3 HT 3-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
28.10.2017 Sunderland Sunderland 1-2 HT 1-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL

Sunderland 1-1 Bristol City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland
1-1
AWAY Bristol City
1.68 xG 0.42
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
459 Passes 189
86% Pass Accuracy 67%
44 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sunderland vs Bristol City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland and Bristol City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sunderland at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Sunderland had 66% of the ball to Bristol City's 34%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.68 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sunderland and 1.50 for Bristol City.

What was the final score of Sunderland vs Bristol City?

Sunderland 1-1 Bristol City in the England - Championship on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Bristol City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 42%, draw 27%, Bristol City 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sunderland), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sunderland) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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