Swansea City 0-1 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 3 Feb 2024

Swansea City
0-1 HT 0-1
Plymouth Argyle
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Swansea City vs Plymouth Argyle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
7.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.69 — our 28% vs market 16.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.61
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
12%
4.8
X/2
9%
7.5
X/X
15%
5.44
2/1
10%
21.75
2/2
14%
4.87
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.2pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swansea City v Plymouth Argyle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.40/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.02
+6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +130%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.5
17.7 Crosses 8.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.5

Swansea City vs Plymouth Argyle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.22 xG 1.23
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
543 Passes 310
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-3 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
24.08.2021 Swansea City Swansea City 4-1 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNLK
27.07.2014 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-4 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City HAZ
16.02.2010 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-1 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
08.12.2009 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
10.03.2009 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL

Swansea City 0-1 Plymouth Argyle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
0-1
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
2.77 xG 0.92
71% Ball Possession 29%
20 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
488 Passes 167
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
44 Box Touches 15
35 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Argyle edged past Swansea City 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Swansea City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Swansea City had 71% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 29%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.77 to 0.92 — the balance of chances actually favoured Swansea City.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Swansea City and 0.50 for Plymouth Argyle.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Swansea City 0-1 Plymouth Argyle in the England - Championship on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 45%, draw 26%, Plymouth Argyle 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Swansea City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swansea City) ✓ BTTS No
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