Hull City 1-0 Millwall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.13
6+ Goals
9%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.66
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
13%
4.15
X/2
11%
7.37
X/X
19%
4.36
2/1
12%
26.5
2/2
10%
5.91
2/X
5%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hull City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.53/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.27
+0% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 68%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
21.6 Crosses 17.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hull City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Millwall
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.48
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
328 Passes 327
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Millwall Millwall 2-2 HT 1-2 Hull City Hull City İNCL
10.04.2023 Hull City Hull City 1-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
05.11.2022 Millwall Millwall 0-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
18.04.2022 Millwall Millwall 2-1 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
27.11.2021 Hull City Hull City 2-1 HT 1-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL
11.07.2020 Hull City Hull City 0-1 HT 0-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hull City
1-0
AWAY Millwall
0.45 xG 0.37
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
539 Passes 282
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hull City vs Millwall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City nicked a narrow win over Millwall 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hull City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hull City had 61% of the ball to Millwall's 39%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.45 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hull City and 1.00 for Millwall.

What was the final score of Hull City vs Millwall?

Hull City 1-0 Millwall in the England - Championship on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hull City vs Millwall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hull City 42%, draw 30%, Millwall 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hull City), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hull City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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