Norwich City 2-1 Coventry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.63
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 27% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.24
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
9%
12.35
X/1
14%
5.36
X/2
11%
6.15
X/X
13%
5.01
2/1
6%
24.7
2/2
20%
3.93
2/X
5%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.5pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Coventry EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.14/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.24
-29% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
18.4 Crosses 17.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Coventry
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.48 xG 1.18
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
526 Passes 309
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
07.10.2023 Coventry Coventry 1-1 HT 0-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
21.01.2023 Coventry Coventry 2-4 HT 2-3 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
03.09.2022 Norwich City Norwich City 3-0 HT 2-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
17.02.2021 Coventry Coventry 0-2 HT 0-2 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
09.01.2021 Norwich City Norwich City 2-0 HT 2-0 Coventry Coventry FAK
28.11.2020 Norwich City Norwich City 1-1 HT 1-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
2-1
AWAY Coventry
1.57 xG 0.99
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
516 Passes 326
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs Coventry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City nicked a narrow win over Coventry 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Norwich City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Norwich City had 60% of the ball to Coventry's 40%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.57 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Norwich City and 0.67 for Coventry.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs Coventry?

Norwich City 2-1 Coventry in the England - Championship on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Coventry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 36%, draw 27%, Coventry 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Coventry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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