Cham 1-0 Lugano II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5 Pick
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cham EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano II EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.07/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.85
+10% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
361 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cham
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Lugano II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Lugano II Lugano II 3-1 Cham Cham İSV1Y
30.03.2024 Lugano II Lugano II 3-2 HT 1-2 Cham Cham İSV1Y
23.09.2023 Cham Cham 5-1 HT 4-0 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Cham vs Lugano II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cham squeezed past Lugano II 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cham as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lugano II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Cham and 2.33 for Lugano II.

What was the final score of Cham vs Lugano II?

Cham 1-0 Lugano II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cham vs Lugano II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cham win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cham 41%, draw 24%, Lugano II 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cham) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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