Gwangju 2-1 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.99
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
18.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.46
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
12%
4.32
X/2
16%
8.63
X/X
8%
4.58
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
12%
7.11
2/X
8%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-11.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
34%
Away Win
23%
+11.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.7pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 26%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.89/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.13
-45% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +23%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
395 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.8 Crosses 14.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Daegu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
476 Passes 268
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
9 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 1-1 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
21.07.2024 Daegu Daegu 0-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
11.05.2024 Daegu Daegu 3-2 HT 2-2 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
31.03.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 1-2 HT 1-1 Daegu Daegu GKOK
11.11.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 1-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
15.07.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 1-1 HT 1-1 Daegu Daegu GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
2-1
AWAY Daegu
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
354 Passes 446
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju squeezed past Daegu 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Gwangju found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gwangju had 45% of the ball to Daegu's 55%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daegu led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gwangju and 1.33 for Daegu.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Daegu?

Gwangju 2-1 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 40%, draw 26%, Daegu 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gwangju), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gwangju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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