ABD (K) 1-2 Brezilya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.24
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.6pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.9pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Brezilya (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.32/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.64
+11% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
37.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
17.3 Crosses 14.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD (K)
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Brezilya (K)
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.71 xG 1.03
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
240 Passes 249
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 ABD (K) ABD (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) HAZ
10.08.2024 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 ABD (K) ABD (K) OLY
11.03.2024 ABD (K) ABD (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) GKK
23.02.2023 ABD (K) ABD (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) SHEBEL
06.03.2019 ABD (K) ABD (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) SHEBEL
03.08.2018 ABD (K) ABD (K) 4-1 HT 1-1 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) Dünya - Uluslar Turnuvası
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD (K)
1-2
AWAY Brezilya (K)
1.70 xG 2.84
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 7
160 Passes 240
62% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ABD (K) vs Brezilya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brezilya (K) edged past ABD (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. ABD (K) carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, ABD (K) had 42% of the ball to Brezilya (K)'s 58%, shots finished 18-19, expected goals 1.70 to 2.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD (K) had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for ABD (K) and 0.33 for Brezilya (K).

What was the final score of ABD (K) vs Brezilya (K)?

ABD (K) 1-2 Brezilya (K) in the Friendlies on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD (K) vs Brezilya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split ABD (K) 55%, draw 19%, Brezilya (K) 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (ABD (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ABD (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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