Estudiantes 1-2 Universidad Chile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.95
6+ Goals
9%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 32% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.18
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.95
X/1
25%
3.98
X/2
6%
10.05
X/X
13%
4.8
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
8%
8.76
2/X
6%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.2pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.77/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.56
-53% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 66%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.2 Crosses 9.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
1-2
AWAY Universidad Chile
0.89 xG 1.65
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 4
351 Passes 218
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 13
39 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Universidad Chile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile nicked a narrow win over Estudiantes 2-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Estudiantes at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estudiantes had 60% of the ball to Universidad Chile's 40%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.89 to 1.65.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Universidad Chile?

Estudiantes 1-2 Universidad Chile in the Copa Libertadores on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Universidad Chile?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 55%, draw 25%, Universidad Chile 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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