Independiente Del Valle 1-0 Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 9 Apr 2025

Independiente Del Valle
1-0 HT 0-0
Universitario
📅09/04/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Copa Libertadores – 2025

Independiente Del Valle vs Universitario Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.68
Over 2.5
53%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
4.09
6+ Goals
11%
20.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.09 — our 26% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.9
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
18.05
X/1
19%
3.75
X/2
5%
12.95
X/X
10%
4.93
2/1
11%
27.5
2/2
7%
12.15
2/X
6%
21.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
63%
+0.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Independiente Del Valle v Universitario — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.41/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.32
-9% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -18%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 71%
34.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
27.8 Crosses 15.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1

Independiente Del Valle vs Universitario Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Universitario
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.50 xG 1.47
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
488 Passes 178
86% Pass Accuracy 65%
28 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.05.2021 Universitario Universitario 3-2 HT 1-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle LKU
06.05.2021 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 4-0 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario LKU

Independiente Del Valle 1-0 Universitario — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
1-0
AWAY Universitario
0.72 xG 0.54
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
491 Passes 245
90% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle edged past Universitario 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 63% of the ball to Universitario's 37%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.72 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 1.50 for Universitario.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Universitario?

Independiente Del Valle 1-0 Universitario in the Copa Libertadores on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 63%, draw 21%, Universitario 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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