Fredrikstad 2-0 Valerenga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
4.22
6+ Goals
10%
20.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.34
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
18%
5.1
X/2
12%
6.38
X/X
9%
4.28
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
13%
4.74
2/X
9%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.92/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.28
+49% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
19.1 Crosses 17.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Valerenga
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Valerenga Valerenga 0-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOK
16.02.2024 Valerenga Valerenga 1-3 HT 0-2 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad HAZ
01.10.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-2 HT 0-2 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
06.05.2012 Valerenga Valerenga 3-2 HT 3-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
31.10.2011 Valerenga Valerenga 1-2 HT 1-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
16.05.2011 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-1 HT 2-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
2-0
AWAY Valerenga
1.41 xG 0.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
284 Passes 341
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs Valerenga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad beat Valerenga 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fredrikstad as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 46% of the ball to Valerenga's 54%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.41 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fredrikstad had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fredrikstad and 1.33 for Valerenga.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Valerenga?

Fredrikstad 2-0 Valerenga in the Norway - Eliteserien on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs Valerenga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 44%, draw 26%, Valerenga 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fredrikstad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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