Real Esteli 2-1 Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 9 Apr 2026

📅09/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.9pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Managua EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
1.58/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.33
-21% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +45%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Esteli
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Managua
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2026 Managua Managua 0-2 HT 0-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
07.12.2025 Managua Managua 0-2 HT 0-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
01.12.2025 Real Esteli Real Esteli 0-2 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
23.10.2025 Managua Managua 2-1 HT 2-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
11.08.2025 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-0 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
25.05.2025 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-1 HT 1-0 Managua Managua NİK
POST-MATCH Real Esteli vs Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli squeezed past Managua 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Esteli and 0.83 for Managua.

What was the final score of Real Esteli vs Managua?

Real Esteli 2-1 Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 09/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Esteli vs Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Real Esteli 52%, draw 25%, Managua 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
9 Apr 2026
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