Matagalpa 2-3 Diriangen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 9 Apr 2026

📅09/04/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
60%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.8pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
60%
Away Win
61%
-1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriangen EU Bookmakers 66%
+25% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.49/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.10
+35% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -6%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Diriangen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2026 Diriangen Diriangen 1-1 HT 0-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
23.10.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 2-2 HT 0-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
10.08.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-2 HT 0-2 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
05.05.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 2-0 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
03.03.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 3-1 HT 2-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
20.01.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-4 HT 0-3 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
POST-MATCH Matagalpa vs Diriangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen squeezed past Matagalpa 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Diriangen as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Matagalpa and 2.33 for Diriangen.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Diriangen?

Matagalpa 2-3 Diriangen in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 09/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Diriangen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 20%, draw 21%, Diriangen 60%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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