UNAN Managua 2-4 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 9 Apr 2026

📅09/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa EU Bookmakers 48%
+20% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.53/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.75
+23% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +47%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UNAN Managua
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jalapa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2026 Jalapa Jalapa 0-0 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
24.10.2025 Jalapa Jalapa 5-0 HT 3-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
10.08.2025 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 5-1 HT 2-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
07.10.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 1-0 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
04.08.2024 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 3-1 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
22.03.2024 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 0-1 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UNAN Managua
2-4
AWAY Jalapa
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 13
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UNAN Managua vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa beat UNAN Managua 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jalapa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, UNAN Managua had 47% of the ball to Jalapa's 53%, shots finished 11-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jalapa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UNAN Managua and 1.50 for Jalapa.

What was the final score of UNAN Managua vs Jalapa?

UNAN Managua 2-4 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 09/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UNAN Managua vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split UNAN Managua 34%, draw 23%, Jalapa 43%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jalapa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jalapa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
9 Apr 2026
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