Hapoel Haifa 1-2 Bnei Sakhnin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.95
6+ Goals
8%
17.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Haifa EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin EU Bookmakers 27%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.35/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.21
+52% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
17.4 Crosses 15.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Haifa
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.81 xG 1.55
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
308 Passes 319
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 2-1 HT 0-1 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa İSR
24.02.2024 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa 1-2 HT 0-2 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin İSR
20.12.2023 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 1-1 HT 0-0 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa İSR
29.07.2023 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa 0-1 HT 0-1 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Haifa
1-2
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin
0.67 xG 0.93
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
448 Passes 348
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bnei Sakhnin nicked a narrow win over Hapoel Haifa 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hapoel Haifa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hapoel Haifa had 55% of the ball to Bnei Sakhnin's 45%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.67 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bnei Sakhnin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Hapoel Haifa and 1.50 for Bnei Sakhnin.

What was the final score of Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin?

Hapoel Haifa 1-2 Bnei Sakhnin in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Haifa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Haifa 44%, draw 26%, Bnei Sakhnin 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Haifa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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