Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 Maccabi Bnei Raina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
15.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Bnei Raina EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.67/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.52
+8% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
17.6 Crosses 12.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.85 xG 0.88
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
448 Passes 252
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina 1-0 HT 1-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva İSR
06.01.2024 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-2 HT 2-1 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina İSR
02.09.2023 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina 1-1 HT 1-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva
2-1
AWAY Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.14 xG 0.89
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
465 Passes 235
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Beer Sheva nicked a narrow win over Maccabi Bnei Raina 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hapoel Beer Sheva as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Hapoel Beer Sheva had 63% of the ball to Maccabi Bnei Raina's 37%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.14 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 1.33 for Maccabi Bnei Raina.

What was the final score of Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Bnei Raina?

Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 Maccabi Bnei Raina in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Bnei Raina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Beer Sheva win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Beer Sheva 50%, draw 23%, Maccabi Bnei Raina 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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