Hapoel Haifa 1-2 Bnei Sakhnin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.26
6+ Goals
8%
21.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 34% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
17%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-9.8pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.3pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Haifa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin EU Bookmakers 28%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.56/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.29
+61% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
18.7 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Haifa
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.74 xG 1.79
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
237 Passes 338
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.12.2023 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 1-1 HT 0-0 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa İSR
29.07.2023 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa 0-1 HT 0-1 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Haifa
1-2
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin
0.57 xG 1.58
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
461 Passes 289
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bnei Sakhnin edged past Hapoel Haifa 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 28% — and on the day Bnei Sakhnin made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hapoel Haifa had 59% of the ball to Bnei Sakhnin's 41%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.57 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bnei Sakhnin led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hapoel Haifa and 1.00 for Bnei Sakhnin.

What was the final score of Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin?

Hapoel Haifa 1-2 Bnei Sakhnin in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Haifa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Haifa 39%, draw 33%, Bnei Sakhnin 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Haifa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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