Maccabi Petah Tikva 3-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.98
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.92
6+ Goals
11%
17.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-7.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 42%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -56% / -56%
0.96/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.25
-32% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
15.1 Crosses 20.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 2.38
55% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
453 Passes 268
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 19
32 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2023 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-0 HT 1-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva İSR
12.08.2023 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-2 HT 0-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva
3-0
AWAY Hapoel Tel Aviv
4.79 xG 0.23
57% Ball Possession 43%
25 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
289 Passes 169
81% Pass Accuracy 60%
41 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Petah Tikva ran out comfortable winners over Hapoel Tel Aviv 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Maccabi Petah Tikva found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maccabi Petah Tikva had 57% of the ball to Hapoel Tel Aviv's 43%, shots finished 25-3, expected goals 4.79 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maccabi Petah Tikva and 1.00 for Hapoel Tel Aviv.

What was the final score of Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Maccabi Petah Tikva 3-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Petah Tikva win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Petah Tikva 39%, draw 30%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Petah Tikva) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Petah Tikva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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