Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 28% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
50%
-11.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva EU Bookmakers 29%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.68/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.39
-100% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
19.0 Crosses 3.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.41 xG 1.28
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
413 Passes 210
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
20.12.2023 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0-1 HT 0-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-0
AWAY Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.57 xG 0.68
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
233 Passes 312
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Tel Aviv edged past Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Maccabi Tel Aviv made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Maccabi Tel Aviv had 45% of the ball to Hapoel Beer Sheva's 55%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.57 to 0.68.

What was the final score of Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Tel Aviv 38%, draw 29%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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