Hapoel Eran Hadera 1-1 Hapoel Jerusalem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.44
2-3 Goals
47%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.88
6+ Goals
6%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.53/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/0.51
+16% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
221 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
14.3 Crosses 17.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hapoel Jerusalem
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.67 xG 1.19
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
407 Passes 209
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2023 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem 1-0 HT 1-0 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Eran Hadera
1-1
AWAY Hapoel Jerusalem
0.62 xG 0.92
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
232 Passes 227
68% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Hapoel Jerusalem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Eran Hadera and Hapoel Jerusalem couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hapoel Eran Hadera had 51% of the ball to Hapoel Jerusalem's 49%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 0.62 to 0.92.

What was the final score of Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Hapoel Jerusalem?

Hapoel Eran Hadera 1-1 Hapoel Jerusalem in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Eran Hadera vs Hapoel Jerusalem?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hapoel Jerusalem win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Eran Hadera 34%, draw 30%, Hapoel Jerusalem 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hapoel Jerusalem) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Jerusalem) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSR More Israel - Ligat HaAl
24 Feb 2024
16:00 Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Analysis →
18:30 Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin Analysis →
20:30 Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Netanya Analysis →
21:00 Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Analysis →