Silkeborg IF 1-0 AGF Aarhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - DBU Cup, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
5.9
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.31
1/2
14%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.2
X/1
14%
5.44
X/2
10%
5.21
X/X
14%
3.38
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.06
2/X
7%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.9pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.5pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Silkeborg IF EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.75
-39% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 71%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Silkeborg IF
1W-4D-1L
AWAY AGF Aarhus
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
522 Passes 394
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 2-2 HT 1-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
10.03.2024 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 0-1 HT 0-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
13.08.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-2 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
26.02.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
11.09.2022 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 1-0 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
26.11.2021 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Silkeborg IF
1-0
AWAY AGF Aarhus
1.39 xG 0.66
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
335 Passes 332
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Silkeborg IF vs AGF Aarhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Silkeborg IF nicked a narrow win over AGF Aarhus 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Silkeborg IF made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Silkeborg IF had 50% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 50%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.39 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Silkeborg IF and 1.17 for AGF Aarhus.

What was the final score of Silkeborg IF vs AGF Aarhus?

Silkeborg IF 1-0 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Silkeborg IF vs AGF Aarhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Silkeborg IF 31%, draw 31%, AGF Aarhus 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AGF Aarhus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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