Fylkir 2-0 UMF Selfoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 9 May 2025

Fylkir
2-0 HT 1-0
UMF Selfoss
📅09/05/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Iceland - 1st Division – 2025

Fylkir vs UMF Selfoss Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-3.2pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.8pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fylkir v UMF Selfoss — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fylkir EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY UMF Selfoss EU Bookmakers 20%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
4.17/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/2.93
+61% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
305 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Fylkir vs UMF Selfoss Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fylkir
5W-1D-0L
AWAY UMF Selfoss
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
18.08.2022 Fylkir Fylkir 4-3 HT 3-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
09.06.2022 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 2-2 HT 0-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZL1
24.02.2022 Fylkir Fylkir 4-0 HT 3-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZLK
16.09.2012 Fylkir Fylkir 2-0 HT 0-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL
20.06.2012 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 1-2 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
18.07.2010 Fylkir Fylkir 5-2 HT 1-0 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL
POST-MATCH Fylkir vs UMF Selfoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fylkir saw off UMF Selfoss 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fylkir as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fylkir had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Fylkir and 1.33 for UMF Selfoss.

What was the final score of Fylkir vs UMF Selfoss?

Fylkir 2-0 UMF Selfoss in the Iceland - 1st Division on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fylkir vs UMF Selfoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fylkir win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Fylkir 60%, draw 20%, UMF Selfoss 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fylkir) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fylkir) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL1 More Iceland - 1st Division
9 May 2025
21:00 Leiknir Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri Analysis →
22:15 Keflavik vs Throttur Reykjavik Analysis →
22:15 HK Kopavogur vs IR Reykjavik Analysis →