Keflavik 0-1 Throttur Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
18%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-2.9pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.9pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.0pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
2.41/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.94
-9% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Throttur Reykjavik
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 3-2 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
20.06.2024 Keflavik Keflavik 1-1 HT 0-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
17.02.2023 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 1-2 HT 1-2 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
21.09.2020 Keflavik Keflavik 4-2 HT 3-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL1
20.09.2009 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 2-2 HT 1-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
25.06.2009 Keflavik Keflavik 3-2 HT 0-0 Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik İZL
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs Throttur Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Throttur Reykjavik squeezed past Keflavik 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Keflavik carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keflavik had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Keflavik and 1.83 for Throttur Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs Throttur Reykjavik?

Keflavik 0-1 Throttur Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Throttur Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 57%, draw 18%, Throttur Reykjavik 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Keflavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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