Leiknir Reykjavik 1-4 Thor Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 42%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -15%
1.28/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/2.50
-24% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 5.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Thor Akureyri
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2024 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 5-1 HT 2-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
22.06.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-2 HT 0-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
29.07.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
20.05.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-0 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
16.05.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 3-1 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZK
15.08.2020 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 3-3 HT 3-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
1-4
AWAY Thor Akureyri
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leiknir Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri ran out comfortable winners over Leiknir Reykjavik 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Thor Akureyri made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Leiknir Reykjavik had 51% of the ball to Thor Akureyri's 49%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leiknir Reykjavik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leiknir Reykjavik and 1.50 for Thor Akureyri.

What was the final score of Leiknir Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?

Leiknir Reykjavik 1-4 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - 1st Division on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiknir Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leiknir Reykjavik 36%, draw 27%, Thor Akureyri 37%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thor Akureyri), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thor Akureyri) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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