Leiknir Reykjavik 5-1 Thor Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+13.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-13.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -15%
1.77/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.07
+3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Thor Akureyri
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
22.06.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-2 HT 0-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
29.07.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
20.05.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-0 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
16.05.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 3-1 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZK
15.08.2020 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 3-3 HT 3-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
24.08.2019 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-1 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
5-1
AWAY Thor Akureyri
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leiknir Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiknir Reykjavik ran out comfortable winners over Thor Akureyri 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Leiknir Reykjavik made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Leiknir Reykjavik had 42% of the ball to Thor Akureyri's 58%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leiknir Reykjavik and 1.50 for Thor Akureyri.

What was the final score of Leiknir Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?

Leiknir Reykjavik 5-1 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiknir Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiknir Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leiknir Reykjavik 37%, draw 29%, Thor Akureyri 34%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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