İB Vestmannaeyjar 2-3 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.49
No
36%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.4pp
64%
BTTS Yes
63%
+0.5pp
36%
BTTS No
37%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İB Vestmannaeyjar EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -11%
2.41/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.63
+3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İB Vestmannaeyjar
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Afturelding
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
6 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2024 Afturelding Afturelding 0-3 HT 0-1 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL1
31.07.2021 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 2-0 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
21.05.2021 Afturelding Afturelding 0-5 HT 0-3 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL1
19.08.2020 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 1-0 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
POST-MATCH İB Vestmannaeyjar vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding edged past İB Vestmannaeyjar 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was İB Vestmannaeyjar at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, İB Vestmannaeyjar had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for İB Vestmannaeyjar and 0.00 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of İB Vestmannaeyjar vs Afturelding?

İB Vestmannaeyjar 2-3 Afturelding in the Iceland - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İB Vestmannaeyjar vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated a İB Vestmannaeyjar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split İB Vestmannaeyjar 50%, draw 25%, Afturelding 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İB Vestmannaeyjar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İB Vestmannaeyjar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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