St. Pölten 3-1 Bregenz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.29
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
25%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
6.42
2-3 Goals
39%
2.13
4-5 Goals
30%
2.41
6+ Goals
15%
4.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.56
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
18.6
X/1
15%
4.14
X/2
7%
16.75
X/X
8%
8.98
2/1
7%
18.5
2/2
11%
12.45
2/X
5%
21.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
73%
-17.9pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.4pp
24%
Away Win
11%
+13.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Bregenz EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.08/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.35
-5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 66%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pölten
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Bregenz
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2024 Bregenz Bregenz 0-4 HT 0-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
27.08.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-2 HT 0-1 Bregenz Bregenz AVK
20.05.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-2 HT 2-1 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
10.11.2023 Bregenz Bregenz 2-3 HT 1-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
POST-MATCH St. Pölten vs Bregenz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten saw off Bregenz 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St. Pölten as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, St. Pölten had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for St. Pölten and 1.50 for Bregenz.

What was the final score of St. Pölten vs Bregenz?

St. Pölten 3-1 Bregenz in the Austria - 1st Division on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten vs Bregenz?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten 55%, draw 20%, Bregenz 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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