Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-1 Brisbane Roar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 43%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.57/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.37
-1% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.7 Crosses 19.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Brisbane Roar II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.47 xG 2.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
278 Passes 294
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.08.2024 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 2-0 HT 1-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
19.05.2024 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-0 HT 2-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
26.08.2023 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-2 HT 2-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
21.05.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 2-1 HT 0-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
07.08.2022 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 4-2 HT 1-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
08.05.2022 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-2 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
POST-MATCH Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane Roar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunshine Coast Wanderers edged past Brisbane Roar II 2-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sunshine Coast Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sunshine Coast Wanderers and 2.00 for Brisbane Roar II.

What was the final score of Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane Roar II?

Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-1 Brisbane Roar II in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane Roar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunshine Coast Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Coast Wanderers 39%, draw 26%, Brisbane Roar II 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sunshine Coast Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sunshine Coast Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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