Brisbane City 1-1 Gold Coast United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.8pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast United EU Bookmakers 40%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.54/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/2.06
-27% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.8 Crosses 21.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gold Coast United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.80 xG 2.19
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
406 Passes 304
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.06.2024 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-1 HT 0-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
09.03.2024 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 3-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
26.08.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 4-1 HT 1-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
21.05.2023 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-0 HT 0-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
11.06.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-3 HT 0-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
26.03.2022 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 2-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
POST-MATCH Brisbane City vs Gold Coast United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane City and Gold Coast United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (41% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brisbane City and 1.83 for Gold Coast United.

What was the final score of Brisbane City vs Gold Coast United?

Brisbane City 1-1 Gold Coast United in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane City vs Gold Coast United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Brisbane City 41%, draw 24%, Gold Coast United 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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