Brisbane City 1-1 Gold Coast United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Jun 2024

Brisbane City
1-1 HT 0-1
Gold Coast United
📅09/06/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Brisbane City vs Gold Coast United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.2pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brisbane City v Gold Coast United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast United EU Bookmakers 43%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
3.13/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/1.62
-15% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
25.5 Crosses 28.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Brisbane City vs Gold Coast United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane City
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Gold Coast United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.65 xG 2.13
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
385 Passes 242
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 3-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
26.08.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 4-1 HT 1-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
21.05.2023 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-0 HT 0-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
11.06.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-3 HT 0-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
26.03.2022 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 2-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
17.10.2020 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-3 HT 1-2 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane City vs Gold Coast United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane City and Gold Coast United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brisbane City and 2.17 for Gold Coast United.

What was the final score of Brisbane City vs Gold Coast United?

Brisbane City 1-1 Gold Coast United in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane City vs Gold Coast United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gold Coast United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Brisbane City 35%, draw 26%, Gold Coast United 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gold Coast United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gold Coast United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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