Brisbane Roar II 2-4 Redlands United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.63
Over 2.5
66%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.43
No
49%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+2.2pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.0pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
34%
-0.6pp
66%
Over 2.5
66%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
66%
-14.6pp
49%
BTTS No
34%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Redlands United EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.12/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.46
+3% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +97% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.3 Crosses 9.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Redlands United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.47 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
276 Passes 203
72% Pass Accuracy 63%
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Redlands United Redlands United 1-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
20.08.2023 Redlands United Redlands United 3-0 HT 2-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
13.05.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-0 HT 1-0 Redlands United Redlands United AVNPL
28.08.2021 Redlands United Redlands United 1-3 HT 1-2 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
08.11.2020 Redlands United Redlands United 4-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
30.08.2020 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 2-1 HT 1-1 Redlands United Redlands United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar II vs Redlands United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Redlands United saw off Brisbane Roar II 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Brisbane Roar II at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brisbane Roar II and 1.67 for Redlands United.

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar II vs Redlands United?

Brisbane Roar II 2-4 Redlands United in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar II vs Redlands United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar II win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar II 55%, draw 18%, Redlands United 27%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane Roar II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane Roar II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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