Rockdale Ilinden 3-2 Western Sydney W. II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.66
Draw
31%
4.19
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
3.17
Over 2.5
54%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.38
No
48%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
56%
-17.1pp
31%
Draw
20%
+11.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
28%
+18.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
72%
-18.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.2pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 28%
+18% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -12%
1.82/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.83
+15% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.7 Crosses 15.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rockdale Ilinden
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Western Sydney W. II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
2.50 xG 1.94
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
310 Passes 349
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2024 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 2-3 HT 1-3 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
01.07.2023 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 3-3 HT 3-2 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
19.03.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 5-1 HT 1-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
06.09.2020 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-3 HT 1-1 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rockdale Ilinden vs Western Sydney W. II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden nicked a narrow win over Western Sydney W. II 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Rockdale Ilinden found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Rockdale Ilinden and 2.25 for Western Sydney W. II.

What was the final score of Rockdale Ilinden vs Western Sydney W. II?

Rockdale Ilinden 3-2 Western Sydney W. II in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rockdale Ilinden vs Western Sydney W. II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rockdale Ilinden 39%, draw 31%, Western Sydney W. II 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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