Adelaide United II 4-4 Para Hills Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+6.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.2pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Para Hills Knights EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
1.64/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
-12% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -60%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Para Hills Knights
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
08.03.2024 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 2-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
19.09.2020 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 4-0 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights AVNPL
18.07.2020 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 3-0 HT 2-0 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide United II vs Para Hills Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United II and Para Hills Knights shared the points in a 4-4 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Para Hills Knights led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Adelaide United II and 1.67 for Para Hills Knights.

What was the final score of Adelaide United II vs Para Hills Knights?

Adelaide United II 4-4 Para Hills Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United II vs Para Hills Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Para Hills Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United II 37%, draw 23%, Para Hills Knights 40%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Para Hills Knights) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Para Hills Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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