St. Albans Saints 1-2 Melbourne Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
48%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.51
Over 2.5
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+4.4pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.9pp
48%
Away Win
60%
-12.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 64%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.61/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.14
-47% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +37%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
331 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.8 Crosses 22.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans Saints
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Melbourne Knights
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.77 xG 1.03
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
200 Passes 328
64% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 3-0 HT 2-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
19.05.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 4-1 HT 2-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
19.02.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-1 HT 1-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
24.06.2022 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
27.03.2022 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-2 HT 0-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
14.03.2021 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 2-1 HT 0-1 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH St. Albans Saints vs Melbourne Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Knights nicked a narrow win over St. Albans Saints 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Melbourne Knights as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Knights led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St. Albans Saints and 2.00 for Melbourne Knights.

What was the final score of St. Albans Saints vs Melbourne Knights?

St. Albans Saints 1-2 Melbourne Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans Saints vs Melbourne Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split St. Albans Saints 24%, draw 29%, Melbourne Knights 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Knights), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Knights) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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