Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-0 Brisbane Roar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 19 May 2024

Sunshine Coast Wanderers
3-0 HT 2-0
Brisbane Roar II
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane Roar II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
44%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.41
No
40%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
40%
-11.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
44%
Away Win
37%
+7.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.1pp
40%
BTTS No
33%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sunshine Coast Wanderers v Brisbane Roar II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
1.43/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.48
-2% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
312 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
12.5 Crosses 19.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0

Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane Roar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Brisbane Roar II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.38 xG 1.68
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
241 Passes 275
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-2 HT 2-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
21.05.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 2-1 HT 0-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
07.08.2022 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 4-2 HT 1-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
08.05.2022 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 2-2 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
14.03.2021 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 4-0 HT 3-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
13.09.2020 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-3 HT 1-3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane Roar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunshine Coast Wanderers ran out comfortable winners over Brisbane Roar II 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Brisbane Roar II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sunshine Coast Wanderers and 2.50 for Brisbane Roar II.

What was the final score of Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane Roar II?

Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-0 Brisbane Roar II in the Australia - National Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane Roar II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane Roar II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Coast Wanderers 29%, draw 27%, Brisbane Roar II 44%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Brisbane Roar II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane Roar II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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