Heidelberg United 1-1 Altona Magic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 19 May 2024

Heidelberg United
1-1 HT 0-1
Altona Magic
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Heidelberg United vs Altona Magic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
32%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.0pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.7pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+8.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-8.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heidelberg United v Altona Magic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 17%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
2.07/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.47
+23% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
24.4 Crosses 20.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Heidelberg United vs Altona Magic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidelberg United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Altona Magic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.20 xG 1.52
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
201 Passes 250
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Altona Magic Altona Magic 0-1 HT 0-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
08.07.2023 Altona Magic Altona Magic 3-2 HT 1-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
09.04.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-2 HT 1-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
25.06.2022 Altona Magic Altona Magic 0-1 HT 0-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
27.03.2022 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-2 HT 0-2 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
13.03.2021 Altona Magic Altona Magic 2-2 HT 2-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Heidelberg United vs Altona Magic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidelberg United and Altona Magic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Heidelberg United at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altona Magic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Heidelberg United and 1.50 for Altona Magic.

What was the final score of Heidelberg United vs Altona Magic?

Heidelberg United 1-1 Altona Magic in the Australia - National Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidelberg United vs Altona Magic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heidelberg United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Heidelberg United 56%, draw 21%, Altona Magic 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Heidelberg United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heidelberg United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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