New Lambton FC 0-1 Charlestown City Blues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
63%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.17
Over 2.5
66%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.5
No
55%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
26%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
13%
+5.9pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.0pp
63%
Away Win
70%
-7.0pp
34%
Under 2.5
28%
+6.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
72%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
62%
-17.2pp
55%
BTTS No
38%
+17.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New Lambton FC EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlestown City Blues EU Bookmakers 75%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.41/2.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/0.65
-61% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +42%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New Lambton FC
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Charlestown City Blues
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.02.2024 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 2-1 HT 1-1 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNPL
21.05.2023 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 2-1 HT 0-0 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC AVNPL
04.03.2023 New Lambton FC New Lambton FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
POST-MATCH New Lambton FC vs Charlestown City Blues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlestown City Blues nicked a narrow win over New Lambton FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Charlestown City Blues as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Charlestown City Blues led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for New Lambton FC and 1.67 for Charlestown City Blues.

What was the final score of New Lambton FC vs Charlestown City Blues?

New Lambton FC 0-1 Charlestown City Blues in the Australia - National Premier League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New Lambton FC vs Charlestown City Blues?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlestown City Blues win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split New Lambton FC 19%, draw 18%, Charlestown City Blues 63%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlestown City Blues), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlestown City Blues) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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