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Aston Villa (K) vs Arsenal (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aston Villa (K) v Arsenal (K) — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa (K) vs Arsenal (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
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Aston Villa (K) 0-3 Arsenal (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal (K) ran out comfortable winners over Aston Villa (K) 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Aston Villa (K) had 48% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 52%, shots finished 1-28, expected goals 0.14 to 3.88.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Aston Villa (K) and 2.80 for Arsenal (K).
What was the final score of Aston Villa (K) vs Arsenal (K)?
Aston Villa (K) 0-3 Arsenal (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aston Villa (K) vs Arsenal (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa (K) 17%, draw 17%, Arsenal (K) 66%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.