Elche vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Elche v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals
Elche vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Elche 1-1 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics
Elche and Deportivo Alaves shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Elche at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Elche had 65% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 35%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.39 to 2.05.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Elche and 1.17 for Deportivo Alaves.
What was the final score of Elche vs Deportivo Alaves?
Elche 1-1 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Elche vs Deportivo Alaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Elche 43%, draw 28%, Deportivo Alaves 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Elche) went the other way.