Deportivo Alaves vs Elche Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Alaves v Elche — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Alaves vs Elche Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportivo Alaves 3-1 Elche — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Alaves beat Elche 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Alaves as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo Alaves had 47% of the ball to Elche's 53%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 2.42 to 0.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Alaves and 0.83 for Elche.
What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves vs Elche?
Deportivo Alaves 3-1 Elche in the Spain - Primera Liga on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves vs Elche?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves 42%, draw 30%, Elche 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.