Sevilla vs Espanyol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sevilla v Espanyol — Team-Based Signals
Sevilla vs Espanyol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sevilla 2-1 Espanyol — Actual Match Statistics
Sevilla nicked a narrow win over Espanyol 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sevilla as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Sevilla had 65% of the ball to Espanyol's 35%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.38 to 0.61.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sevilla and 1.33 for Espanyol.
What was the final score of Sevilla vs Espanyol?
Sevilla 2-1 Espanyol in the Spain - Primera Liga on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Espanyol?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 46%, draw 29%, Espanyol 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.