Sevilla 1-1 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.59
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.24
6+ Goals
8%
21.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.33
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.75
X/1
16%
4.09
X/2
10%
9.11
X/X
10%
4.33
2/1
11%
27.0
2/2
9%
7.89
2/X
8%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
1.70/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.43
-4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
28.1 Crosses 16.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Espanyol
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.60 xG 1.24
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
385 Passes 264
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Espanyol Espanyol 0-2 HT 0-2 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
04.05.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 3-2 HT 1-2 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
10.09.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 2-3 HT 1-3 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
20.02.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 1-1 HT 0-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
25.09.2021 Sevilla Sevilla 2-0 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
16.02.2020 Sevilla Sevilla 2-2 HT 1-1 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla
1-1
AWAY Espanyol
1.20 xG 0.70
75% Ball Possession 25%
25 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
575 Passes 133
88% Pass Accuracy 61%
29 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sevilla vs Espanyol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla and Espanyol shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sevilla at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sevilla had 75% of the ball to Espanyol's 25%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 1.20 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sevilla and 1.17 for Espanyol.

What was the final score of Sevilla vs Espanyol?

Sevilla 1-1 Espanyol in the Spain - Primera Liga on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Espanyol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 50%, draw 27%, Espanyol 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sevilla), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sevilla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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