Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Madrid v Villarreal — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Villarreal
İS1
2-2
HT 1-1
Atletico Madrid
İS1
0-2
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İS1
2-2
HT 1-1
Atletico Madrid
İS1
Atletico Madrid 1-1 Villarreal — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Madrid and Villarreal shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Atletico Madrid at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Atletico Madrid had 59% of the ball to Villarreal's 41%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.71 to 2.24.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atletico Madrid and 1.67 for Villarreal.
What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?
Atletico Madrid 1-1 Villarreal in the Spain - Primera Liga on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid 45%, draw 29%, Villarreal 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid) went the other way.