Valladolid 0-3 Real Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 25 Jan 2025

Valladolid
0-3 HT 0-1
Real Madrid
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Valladolid vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.95
Draw
24%
5.28
Away
59%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.51
Over 2.5
47%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
5.07
2-3 Goals
37%
1.95
4-5 Goals
24%
2.63
6+ Goals
10%
6.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.07 — our 29% vs market 14.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
19.6
1/2
6%
21.7
1/X
6%
28.0
X/1
6%
22.55
X/2
15%
3.76
X/X
11%
8.94
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
38%
1.39
2/X
7%
23.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
10%
+7.8pp
24%
Draw
16%
+8.8pp
58%
Away Win
75%
-16.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
36%
+17.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
64%
-17.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valladolid v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valladolid EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 80%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
0.99/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.04
-39% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -4%
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
253 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 560 · 87%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.5
17.7 Crosses 17.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Valladolid vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valladolid
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Real Madrid
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.63 xG 2.12
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
271 Passes 519
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 36
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.08.2024 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
02.04.2023 Real Madrid Real Madrid 6-0 HT 4-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
30.12.2022 Valladolid Valladolid 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
20.02.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
30.09.2020 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
26.01.2020 Valladolid Valladolid 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1

Valladolid 0-3 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valladolid
0-3
AWAY Real Madrid
0.20 xG 1.99
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
268 Passes 643
86% Pass Accuracy 93%
8 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valladolid vs Real Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid ran out comfortable winners over Valladolid 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Valladolid had 32% of the ball to Real Madrid's 68%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.20 to 1.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Valladolid and 2.33 for Real Madrid.

What was the final score of Valladolid vs Real Madrid?

Valladolid 0-3 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valladolid vs Real Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 17%, draw 24%, Real Madrid 58%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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